The Reinforcing Spirals of Beliefs

How New Media Landscapes Shape Polarization Trends in Croatia

Authors

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51480/1899-5101.19.1(42).979

Keywords:

political polarization, cultivation theory, reinforcing spirals model, media environment, Croatia

Abstract

This paper examines the relationship between media consumption and political polarization in Croatia, with a specific focus on the differential effects of traditional and Internet-based media. Drawing on cultivation theory and the reinforcing spirals model, the paper examines how media use contributes to political polarization. The paper utilizes survey data from an online opt-in sample of the Croatian population (N = 1,021), to test hypotheses related to media consumption patterns and their connection with political identification. The findings suggest that consuming Internet news tends to increase political polarization. In contrast, television news consumption is associated with more centrist political identification. The study also discusses the broader implications of these findings, highlighting the role of digital media in shaping political identities. By integrating theoretical frameworks with empirical analysis, this paper strives to present valuable insights into the complex interplay between media consumption and political polarization in the digital age.

Author Biographies

Željko Pavić, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences

Full professor at the Department of Sociology. His areas of research interest are related to the changes in media environments and their connection to various social phenomena, such as political polarization and value changes.

Boris Badurina, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences

Full Professor, Department of Information Sciences. His main research interests are related to the investigation of digital literacy in the changing media landscapes.

Juraj Jurlina, Josip Juraj Strossmayer University of Osijek, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences

Senior teaching assistant, Department of Sociology. His main area of research interest is the relationship between the changing media environments and the processes of social indvidualization.

References

Andersen, K., Shehata, A., & Andersson, D. (2023). Alternative News Orientation and Trust in Mainstream Media: A Longitudinal Audience Perspective. Digital Journalism, 11(5), 833–852. https://doi.org/10.1080/21670811.2021.1986412

Ball­‑Rokeach, S. J., & DeFleur, M. L. (1976). A dependency model of mass-media effects. Communication Research, 3(1), 3–21.

Bakshy, E., Messing, S., & Adamic, L. A. (2015). Exposure to ideologically diverse news and opinion on Facebook. Science, 348(6239), 1130–1132. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaa116

Barbera, P., Jost, J., Nagler, J., Tucker, J. & Bonneau, R. (2015). Tweeting from left to right: Is online political communication more than an echo chamber? Psychological Science, 26(10), 1531–1542. https://doi.org/10.1177/0956797615594620

Bryant, J., Carveth, R. A., & Brown, D. (1981). Television viewing and anxiety: An experimental investigation. Journal of Communication, 31(1), 106–119. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1460-2466.1981.tb01210.x

Campante, F. R. & Hojman, D. A., (2013). Media and polarization, Journal of Public Economics, 100, 79–92. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jpubeco.2013.02.006

Cöster, A., & Shehata, A. (2024). From Cultivation to Self­‑Cultivation: Alternative Media and Reinforcing Spirals in a Fragmented Media Environment. International Journal Of Communication, 18, 23. Retrieved from https://ijoc.org/index.php/ijoc/article/view/19737 on 26 March 2025.

Coppedge, M., Gerring, J., Knutsen, C. H, Lindberg, S. I. & Teorell, J. (2021). “V-Dem Codebook (v11.1),” Varieties of Democracy (V-Dem) Project, March 2021, retrieved from https://www.v-dem.net/static/website/img/refs/codebookv111.pdf. on 17 July 2025.

Croatian Bureau of Statistics (2023).Population Census 2021. Retrieved on 23 February 2023 from https://dzs.gov.hr/u-fokusu/popis-2021/88.

Davis, N. T. & Dunaway, J. L. (2016). Party Polarization, Media Choice, And Mass Partisan­‑Ideological Sorting. Public Opinion Quarterly, 80, 272–297. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfw002

De Vries, C. E. (2018). The cosmopolitan-parochial divide: Changing patterns of party and electoral competition in the Netherlands and beyond. Journal of European Public Policy, 25(11), 1541–1565.

DiMaggio, P., Evans, J. & Bryson, B. (1996). Have American’s Social Attitudes Become More Polarized? American Journal of Sociology, 102(3), 690–755. https://doi.org/10.1086/230995

Druckman, J. N., Peterson, E., & Slothuus, R. (2013). How elite partisan polarization affects public opinion formation. American Political Science Review, 107(1), 57–79. https://doi.org /10.1017/S0003055412000500

Dvir­‑Gvirsman, S., Tsfati, Y., & Menchen­‑Trevino, E. (2016). The extent and nature of ideological selective exposure online: Combining survey responses with actual web log data from the 2013 Israeli Elections. New Media & Society, 18(5), 857-877. https://doi.org/10.1177/1461444814549041

Fletcher R., Nielsen R. K. (2017). Are news audiences increasingly fragmented? A cross-national comparative analysis of cross-platform news audience fragmentation and duplication. Journal of Communication 67(4), 476–498. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcom.12315

Garrett, R. K. (2009). Echo chambers online? Politically motivated selective exposure among Internet news users. Journal of Computer­‑Mediated Communication, 14(2), 265–285. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1083-6101.2009.01440.x

Gerbner, G., Gross, L., Morgan, M., & Signorielli, N. (1982). Charting the Mainstream: Television’s Contributions to Political Orientations Journal of Communication, 32(2), 100–127.

Gerbner, G., Gross, L., Morgan, M., & Signorielli, N. (1986). Living with television: The dynamics of the cultivation process. In J. Bryant & D. Zillman (Eds.), Perspectives on media effects (pp. 17–40). Hilldale, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates.

Hetherington, M. J. (2001). Resurgent Mass Partisanship: The Role of Elite Polarization. The American Political Science Review, 95(3): 619–663. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0003055401003045

Hollander, B. A. (2008). Tuning Out or Tuning Elsewhere? Partisanship, Polarization, and Media Migration from 1998 to 2006. Journalism & Mass Communication Quarterly, 85(1), 23–40. https://doi.org/10.1177/107769900808500103

Iyengar, S., Sood, G. & Lelkes, Y. (2012). Affect, Not Ideology: A Social Identity Perspective on Polarization. Public Opinion Quarterly, 76(3), 405-431. https://doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfs038

Iyengar, S., Lelkes, Y., Levendusky, M., Malhotra, N., & Westwood, S. J. (2019). The origins and consequences of affective polarization in the United States. Annual Review of Political Science, 22, 129–146. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-051117-073034

Jenkins, H. (2006). Convergence Culture. Where Old and New Media Collide. New York and London: New York University Press.

Knobloch‐Westerwick, S., Johnson, B. K., & Westerwick, A. (2015). Confirmation bias in online searches: Impacts of selective exposure before an election on political attitude strength and shifts. Journal of Computer­‑Mediated Communication, 20(2), 171–187. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcc4.12105

Lelkes, Y., Sood, G. & Iyengar, S. (2017). The Hostile Audience: The Effect of Access to Broadband Internet on Partisan Affect. American Journal of Political Science, 61(1), 5-20. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12237

Levendusky, M. S. (2013). Why do partisan media polarize viewers? American Journal of Political Science, 57(3), 611–623. https://doi.org/10.1111/ajps.12008

Lindemann, D. J. (2020). What’s Your Reality? Evaluating Sources and Addressing “Fake News“. Sociological Forum, 35(3), 822–829. https://doi.org/10.1111/socf.12615

McCoy, J. et al., 2022. Reducing Pernicious Polarization: A Comparative Historical Analysis of Depolarization, CEIP: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. United States of America. Retrieved from https://policycommons.net/artifacts/2392500/reducing-pernicious-polarization/3413931/ on 14 March 2023.

Michailidou, A., & Trenz, H.-J. (2021). Rethinking journalism standards in the era of post-truth politics: from truth keepers to truth mediators. Media, Culture & Society, 43(7), 1340–1349. https://doi.org/10.1177/01634437211040669

Montag, C. & Hegelich, S. (2020). Understanding Detrimental Aspects of Social Media Use: Will the Real Culprits Please Stand Up? Frontiers in Sociology, 2020 Dec 1:5:599270. https://doi.org/10.3389/fsoc.2020.599270.

Morgan, M., & Shanahan, J. (2010). The state of cultivation. Journal of Broadcasting & Electronic Media, 54(2), 337–355. https://doi.org/10.1080/08838151003735018

Nikić Čakar, D. & Čular, G. (2022). Democratic Consolidation and Electoral System Change in Croatia: What Is Wrong with the Proportional Representation? Political Studies Review, 20(4), 564–577. https://doi.org/10.1177/14789299221084856

Pariser, E. (2011). The filter bubble: What the Internet is hiding from you. New York: Penguin Press.

Pavić, Ž. (2024). Religion and the Increase of Socio-political Polarization in Croatian Society. Religion and Society in Central and Eastern Europe, 17(1), 69–81. https://doi.org/10.20413/rascee.2024.17.1.69-81.

Peruško, Z., Vozab, D., & Čuvalo, A. (2021). Comparing post-socialist media systems: The case of Southeast Europe. London: Routledge.

Pew Research Center (2021). How Americans Navigated the News in 2020: A Tumultuous Year in Review. Retrieved from https://www.pewresearch.org/ on 19 September 2025.

Prior, M. (2013). Media and Political Polarization, Annual Review of Political Science, 16, 101-127. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev-polisci-100711-135242

Roche, S. P., Pickett, J. T., Gertz, M. (2016). The Scary World of Online News? Internet News Exposure and Public Attitudes Toward Crime and Justice. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 32(2), 215–236. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-015-9261-x

Slater, M. D. (2007). Reinforcing spirals: The mutual influence of media selectivity and media effects and their impact on individual behavior and social identity. Communication Theory, 17(3), 281–303. doi:10.1111/j.1468-2885.2007.00296.x

Steppat, D., Castro Herrero, L. & Esser, F. (2022). Selective Exposure in different political information environments – How media fragmentation and polarization shape congruent news use. European Journal of Communication, 37(1), 82–102. https://doi.org/10.1177/026732312110121

Stier, S., Siegers, P. & Breuer, J. (2025). Radical right populism and the media: evidence from the supply side and demand side of political information in Germany, European Sociological Review, jcae051, https://doi.org/10.1093/esr/jcae051

Stroud, N. J. (2010). Polarization and Partisan Selective Exposure. Journal of Communication, 60(3), 556–76. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1460-2466.2010.01497.x

Sunstein, C. R. (2017). #Republic: Divided Democracy in the Age of Social Media. Princeton, New York: Princeton University Press,

Tsay­‑Vogel, M., Shanahan, J., & Signorielli, N. (2018). Social media cultivating perceptions of privacy: A 5-year analysis of privacy attitudes and self-disclosure behaviors among Facebook users. New Media & Society, 20(1), 141–161. https://doi.org/10.1177/14614448166607

Törnberg, P., & Uitermark, J. (2021). Tweeting ourselves to death: the cultural logic of digital capitalism. Media, Culture & Society, 44(3), 574–590. https://doi.org/10.1177/01634437211053766

Valkenburg, P.M. & Peter, J. (2013). The Differential Susceptibility to Media Effects Model. Journal of Communication, 63(2), 221–243. https://doi.org/10.1111/jcom.12024

Van Beek, U. (2022). Democracy under threat: A crisis of legitimacy? London: Palgrave.

Varga, M., & Buzogány, A. (2020). The foreign policy of populists in power: Contesting liberalism in Poland and Hungary. Geopolitics, 25(4), 1–20. https://doi.org/10.1080/14650045.2020.1734564

Weeks, B. E., Kim, D. H., Hahn, L. B., Diehl, T. H., & Kwak, N. (2017). Hostile media perceptions in the age of social media: Following politicians, emotions, and perceptions of media bias. Journal of Broadcasting & Electronic Media, 61(2), 374-396.

Downloads

Published

2026-08-17

How to Cite

Pavić, Željko, Badurina, B., & Jurlina, J. (2026). The Reinforcing Spirals of Beliefs: How New Media Landscapes Shape Polarization Trends in Croatia. Central European Journal of Communication, 19(1(42), 41–62. https://doi.org/10.51480/1899-5101.19.1(42).979

Similar Articles

<< < 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 > >> 

You may also start an advanced similarity search for this article.